He is from a Most Backward Caste, she from a Scheduled Caste. Both are driven by a mission defined by their vision of an
He leads a Spartan life and has a squeaky clean image as a Chief Minister who neither takes money nor allows others to do so. She, once a poor school teacher, now boasts of a ‘palace’ in
He has not married; neither has she.
These two (ge)Ms, Mayawati and Modi, have burst upon the political landscape of
2007 was the year of these two (ge)Ms. It also was perhaps the most significant year in the political landscape of
For the first ever time, real Indians surprised our increasingly disconnected leaders and analysts by decisively voting to power these two ge(M)s in the two politically crucial states of Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat. The mandate was so unambiguous and unexpected that the usual hypocritical and superficial response which marks all political verdicts is once again likely to completely miss the unprecedented significance of what the people of
In May 2007, Mayawati stunned the whole nation by storming to power on her own, breaking the splintered pattern of voting due to which no party had won an absolute majority on its own in the last six elections. Her victory signaled a tectonic shift in the thousands of years old balance of power in the caste based hierarchy of Hindu society.
How did her victory come about? Our founding fathers, in a sincere bid to undo the many injustices faced by low caste Hindus, had laid down 25 percent reservations in all government jobs to SC/STs for a period of 25 years, by which it was expected that their condition would improve and there would be no need to extend the reservations further. But, electoral mathematics ensured that politicians had no choice but to extend them. The extension it now seems is for an indefinite period.
Enter Prime Minister VP Singh who got that chair as a result of some petty machinations against Rajiv Gandhi in whose cabinet he was the Finance Minister. VP Singh was no mass leader and had virtually no chance of getting the post again. In a disastrous bid to ensure that he did become PM for another term, he dug out a long forgotten report by the Mandal commission and announced an additional reservation of 22.5 percent to Other Backward Classes(OBCs) identified by Mandal. He also declared a national holiday on the Prophet’s birthday.
VP Singh quickly discovered what the political class has yet to: once I get the benefit, particularly the one given for purely narrow and politically tactical reasons, why should I vote for you? At the same time I will ensure that you cannot undo what you have once done. If you try to put the genie back in the bottle, I will certainly vote against you, at the very least. Appeasement is an almost never ending and dangerous one way ticket with absolutely no long term returns. Maslowe’s Hierarchy of Needs applies everywhere.
Mayawati’s brilliant political strategy in 2007 involved touching the raw nerve of Brahmins and other upper castes that had been neglected and marginalized by politicians belonging to these very castes but looking for votes of lower castes only. When she, an untouchable, told them that they did not have to go begging to anyone to get their due anymore, they readily turned the ancient caste hierarchy upside down and voted to seek empowerment from her.
Mayawati embodies the rise of real Dalit power in
In December 2007, Modi unleashed an energy which electrified the whole country and thrust him to an almost unrivalled leadership position in the BJP. Modi, under relentless pressure and the vilest possible criticism from all possible quarters, achieved the impossible in
In 2002, after a railway coach carrying Hindu pilgrims was burnt, allegedly by Muslim fundamentalists, killing all the 57 people who were inside, anti Muslim riots broke out in Gujarat. After those unfortunate riots, everyone went after Modi with a venom that any lesser mortal would not have been able to survive.
In the following five years, Modi single-mindedly devoted himself to the development of
The real significance of Modi’s victory was along one long ignored dimension. Muslims, constantly being incited by Modi’s political opponents on the basis of 2002, voted communally against Modi, possibly an emotional vote rooted one dimensionally in the past. But, for the first ever time after Nehru, Hindus did not vote along any caste or community based lines. They voted as citizens of
Modi’s victory represents the victory of an
Modi has demonstrated the possibility of winning elections on the desirable and positive basis of solid performance. That is the way it should always have been, and should be, in a real and healthy democracy. But, since most other leaders have monotonously failed to provide good governance, they have been resorting to the easier but divisive and often dangerous tactic of using the divisions of caste, community and religion to get to power.
Modi and Mayawati are both trail blazers. However,all the striking similarities between them notwithstanding, there is are two fundamental differences which set them apart.
Mayawati has brilliantly re-invented the proven strategy of exploiting caste arithmetic to get to power. This strategy may work and put her in the PM’s chair once. But, being essentially divisive and not focused on real performance, there is a strong possibility that it might trip her at some point of time, even before she reaches that chair in South Block. Mayawati has to learn to focus on clean governance. Whether she can do so or even wants to, is debatable, given what the general impression is. Her first objective of materially enabling herself has already been accomplished swiftly with some brazenness. Being single, she really does not need to stock up for seven generations. Her real mission, if she still has the zeal for it like her mentor Kanshi Ram did, will get seriously jeopardized unless she can provide clean, effective and inclusive governance.
Modi, on the other hand, has the advantage of being a scrupulously honest and able administrator, the likes of which this country desperately needs if it wants to sprint to join the big league. He is the one who actually can get Indians to vote for him as Indians. But, his opponents will continue to haunt him with the ghost of 2002, to ensure that Muslims do not go with him even if he proves that he is the community’s best developmental bet. However, considering the strength of character and personality that he has so far displayed to impact the whole nation, he should be able to dispel the misgivings of the Muslims who also want to move rapidly ahead as
Mayawati and Modi. These two names are going to dominate
I know it is not going to happen. But should they ever decide to marry or even be ‘friends’, we will have
There is nothing to suggest that Modi will ever accept a ‘woman on top’ position. Mayawati, it is clear, will not have it any other way. If anyone of them ever manages to subdue the other, the result will be an unbeatable political combination. If not, the country will witness great political fireworks from their fights.
Either way, let us hope that these two single, alpha (ge)Ms on a mission give
2 comments:
Bonjour Vinod,
I always talk to you like this but suddenly I am asking myself if Vinod is really your surname (like Georg for me).
Maybe one day our media one of our media will mention those two and then at least I know a little about their place and value.
It might however be useful if you explain the meaning of:
- most backward caste
- scheduled caste (they are the untouchables, right? And Dalit is another word for the same?)
That would help.
Meanwhile,
Cheers
Georg
Hi Georg,
My surname is Sharma and first name Vinod.
Dalits are scheduled castes. Some sub-castes among the dalits were untouchables(still are in a few remote parts).
Then there are some other non-dalit castes that are mainly economically, even socially backward. Modi is from a most backward caste among them.
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